{
  "configuration": {
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    "backcast_training_cutoff": "cycle > 2016",
    "finance_in_headline_war": false,
    "post2016_score_source": "post2016_southern_war_v3 published same-cycle residual",
    "scope": "prespecified Southern regular elections 2016-2024",
    "strict_training_status": "strict_war_ready_no_finance",
    "structural_alpha": 100.0,
    "structural_specification": "decaying_lag",
    "upstream_model_run_id": "WAR-POST2016-V3-530FBD4238CC483E557C",
    "upstream_release_decision": "approved_for_descriptive_historical_use"
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  "diagnostics": {
    "backcast_races": 620,
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      2018,
      2019,
      2020,
      2022,
      2023,
      2024
    ],
    "empty_scheduled_slices": 2,
    "excluded_baseline_not_strict": 151,
    "excluded_incumbency_experimental": 151,
    "excluded_research_outcomes": 302,
    "finance_complete_races": 3635,
    "formula_max_error": 1.0658141036401503e-14,
    "orientation_max_error": 0.0,
    "published_post2016_races": 3660,
    "scheduled_slices": 116,
    "scored_races": 4280,
    "states": 14,
    "strict_races_source_file_unresolved": 0
  },
  "finance_coverage_by_state": {
    "AL": {
      "complete_races": 97,
      "coverage_rate": 1.0,
      "scored_races": 97
    },
    "AR": {
      "complete_races": 219,
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    },
    "GA": {
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    },
    "KY": {
      "complete_races": 320,
      "coverage_rate": 0.9523809523809523,
      "scored_races": 336
    },
    "LA": {
      "complete_races": 34,
      "coverage_rate": 0.9444444444444444,
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    },
    "MO": {
      "complete_races": 0,
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    },
    "MS": {
      "complete_races": 0,
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    },
    "NC": {
      "complete_races": 622,
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    },
    "OK": {
      "complete_races": 277,
      "coverage_rate": 0.9518900343642611,
      "scored_races": 291
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    "SC": {
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      "coverage_rate": 0.9490909090909091,
      "scored_races": 275
    },
    "TN": {
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    },
    "TX": {
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    "VA": {
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      "coverage_rate": 0.971830985915493,
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  },
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-09-11T14:28:19.512278+00:00",
  "historical_war_run_id": "WAR-SOUTH-HIST-V1-6D84680E7B757B057AF1",
  "inputs": {
    "data/processed/elections/alabama_elections.sqlite": "5d61aff3cb3f1fcbb459df61721f8366fe150b0058e5d037b20f2a441c1400a5",
    "data/processed/war/2022_wikipedia_vote_validation.csv": "9140169b2c80ca177f002848cf606641c3deb18fea9336e6ee2a448360739c70",
    "data/processed/war/alabama_historical_war_v1/candidate_cycle_war.csv": "aedb20e3f5f9c7d0de4c08527c357f14df2b96f872013b1177b13fad37302b4d",
    "data/processed/war/post2016_southern_war_v3/manifest.json": "c879265a3e09af1fe1dd9793d3da816d6357e26336801a4267063cdbb8596d63",
    "data/processed/war/post2016_southern_war_v3/race_war.csv": "cd0095ad902bc297c7b21cdef13e432f32ab27ccab9e29a08d002d9b374e3692",
    "data/processed/war/wikipedia_legislative_candidates.csv": "93fa2d64c43e763fd57a4f11d7094c2c0bac5cd904a84917d451779386fe9b63",
    "project_docs/audits/SOUTHERN_V3_RELEASE_DECISION.json": "e5982bfb6ce7c7c4b490559c4aec800a197ebced192d3d5b336196691d6ba982",
    "project_docs/model/SOUTHERN_HISTORICAL_WAR_MAP_FIELD_CONTRACT.md": "29d9c12a4fa313175900b5e7169754d6ba4e69a257e959c166d9263672c7c159",
    "scripts/build_southern_historical_war_v1.py": "7ea809ba21a799fee65aab1571755915fd922bac03427f3ee5cc5ab63d00be4d",
    "scripts/retrain_post2016_southern_war.py": "ead76fb849c93043d380cff7d2a14eb2a7bca31944134af207acf7002d2e075d",
    "scripts/retrain_post2016_southern_war_v2.py": "9a52de7cd3043f8d8a57d07a39e5914d257af2ffc3ebe2da8f17b2c9e8f0a730",
    "scripts/southern_war_map_contract.py": "916e188d70070558051ebdad27cea48a3b7e3dbcf6cddd4e134acf37aaeb89ec",
    "scripts/southern_war_release_gate.py": "865fb736375ba9bffd2078738fa12c59194d4fa641f442ae687847b4e79fc103"
  },
  "methodology_version": "southern_historical_war_v1",
  "outputs": [
    {
      "path": "data/processed/war/southern_historical_war_v1/race_war.csv",
      "rows": 4280,
      "sha256": "93c5cca65b943506d5adcce9df4171cd5c12138ba5078d081f0dd2cbf502716f"
    },
    {
      "path": "data/processed/war/southern_historical_war_v1/candidate_cycle_war.csv",
      "rows": 8560,
      "sha256": "d7860f42d4d06d0f614fdded0a980f9357a2d368a2897de8024f850119bbd333"
    },
    {
      "path": "data/processed/war/southern_historical_war_v1/structural_coefficients.csv",
      "rows": 35,
      "sha256": "ec13dbb2b8a1f76746e39020ef2cadaec4bbb83398ce9513abfe54e5d2953a46"
    },
    {
      "path": "data/processed/war/southern_historical_war_v1/coverage.csv",
      "rows": 116,
      "sha256": "b7dc4b6c2cb1c0b6650ed418c3431dd4e070eacd54ec550fe82439e4c524ddcf"
    },
    {
      "path": "data/processed/war/southern_historical_war_v1/state_release_coverage.csv",
      "rows": 14,
      "sha256": "3dde61d953e4438d63d60cf7b48aefa1756bab8431970d35defb6a2260e091da"
    }
  ],
  "reports": [
    {
      "path": "project_docs/model/SOUTHERN_HISTORICAL_WAR_MAP_FIELD_CONTRACT.md",
      "sha256": "29d9c12a4fa313175900b5e7169754d6ba4e69a257e959c166d9263672c7c159"
    },
    {
      "path": "project_docs/model/SOUTHERN_HISTORICAL_WAR_V1.md",
      "sha256": "46b28338a580e23f0fd51c4546d3844d5f75e16f4ed4a3cd3d9d6efe5bb5ee6f"
    },
    {
      "path": "project_docs/audits/SOUTHERN_HISTORICAL_WAR_V1_VALIDATION.md",
      "sha256": "1f397229e1c8182bc1763d18483af6d920199508e94e35c3a1e9a4352c65183c"
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  ],
  "schema_version": 1,
  "source_commit": "720c3507b147bc0a7c048c4c84ab0262920802c1",
  "status": "validated_descriptive_historical_release",
  "warehouse_build_run_id": "RUN-504CE4C4DF904D88A5A40D268F3FCEAB"
}
